Investor Presentation - July 2017
Released
Released
Announcement PDF
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
July 2017 incorporating 4Q2017 and FY2017* Results
*Results subject to audit
AGENDA
1
About Redbubble
2
Healthy marketplace
3
Historical top-line growth
4
Customer acquisition
5
The opportunity
6
Growth themes and initiatives
7
Financials
8
Wrap up
2
BUILDING A HIGH GROWTH,
SUSTAINABLE AND DIVERSIFIED
MARKETPLACE
3
Redbubble Video
This is Redbubble
1.
Link to Video
4
A RECAP ON THE RB STORY
A THREE-SIDED MARKETPLACE, FOUNDED IN 2006 AND LISTED IN MAY 2016
ARTISTS
CUSTOMERS
CONTENT
600,000+
(as of Q4 FY2017)
2.9M
(FY2017)
11.5M2
3rd PARTY FULFILLERS
15 FULFILLERS (24 locations), 64 PRODUCTS
(as of Q4 FY2017)
1.
Published artists net of removals: Source: Redbubble internal data
5
COMPANY SNAPSHOT: Redbubble Limited (ASX:RBL)
As at 21 July 2017 (unless stated otherwise)
$1.40
2.0
$1.20
$1.00
Millions
2.5
1.5
$0.80
1.0
$0.60
$0.40
0.5
$0.20
7/17/17
6/17/17
5/17/17
4/17/17
3/17/17
2/17/17
1/17/17
12/17/16
11/17/16
10/17/16
0.0
9/17/16
$0.00
8/17/16
Mr Barry Newstead: Chief Operating Officer
Mr Chris Nunn:
Chief Financial Officer
$1.60
7/17/16
Board and Management:
Mr Richard Cawsey: Non-executive Chairman
Mr Martin Hosking: CEO and Managing Director
Ms Teresa Engelhard:Non-executive Director
Mr Greg Lockwood: Non-executive Director
Mr Grant Murdoch: Non-executive Director
Dr Hugh Williams:
Non-executive Director
6/17/16
$0.95
208.4 million
$198.0 million
$1.33
$27.8million
Shareholders (at 4 July 2017):
Board &Management:
36.7%
Top 20:
75.0%
Osmium Partners (recent investor):
7.6%
Acorn Capital (pre-IPO investor):
6.1%
Simon Baker (ex-director):
5.8%
Blackbird Ventures (pre-IPO investor): 5.5%
5/17/16
Capital Structure:
Share Price (16 May 2017):
Fully Paid Ordinary Shares:
Market Capitalisation:
Issue Price (16 May 2017):
Net Cash (30 June 2017):
6
BUILDING A HIGH GROWTH,
SUSTAINABLE AND DIVERSIFIED
MARKETPLACE
7
THE R B MARKETPLACE IS SCALING RAPIDLY
CONSISTENT GROWTH IN CUSTOMERS, ARTISTS AND FULFILLERS
Repeat
New
2.0
Fulfillers
280
Fulfillers
3.0
2.5
Selling Artists
# of Artists (,000)
# Customers (Millions)
New and Repeat Customers
240
16
14
12
200
10
160
8
1.5
120
1.0
6
80
4
0.5
40
2
0.0
0
0
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Large and Growing
customer base
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
SUSTAINABLE,
LOW COST ARTIST COMMUNITY
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Diverse,
Localised manufacturing
8
BUILDING A HIGH GROWTH,
SUSTAINABLE AND DIVERSIFIED
MARKETPLACE
9
R B HAS HAD STRONG TOP-LINE GROWTH
Gross Transaction Value
(Constant Currency Growth Rates)
# Visits (Millions)
$200
Visits and Conversions
$160
$120
200
2.5%
160
2.0%
120
1.5%
80
1.0%
Repeat
GTV
$80
First Time
GTV
$40
Visits
40
0.5%
CVR
$0
FY13
YoY
Conversion Rate (%)
$AUD Millions
GTV GROWTH DRIVEN BY VISITS AND CONVERSION RATE IMPROVEMENTS
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
0
122.1%
55.9%
38.1%
46.2%
30.3%
YoY growth rates are based on constant currency exchange rates to
eliminate exogenous FX spikes
0.0%
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
10
BUILDING A HIGH GROWTH,
SUSTAINABLE AND DIVERSIFIED
MARKETPLACE
11
GROWS STRONGLY WITH LOW CUSTOMER ACQUISITION COSTS
WITH ALL PAID CHANNELS PROFITABLE ON FIRST PURCHASE
FY2017 TRAFFIC
4 2 % - Paid
5 8 % - Free
11%
32%
8%
8%
5%
37%
Paid Social
Paid Search and Other
Other Free
Email
Direct
Organic Search
1. Organic Search = traffic to the site originating from search click through that we do not pay for
2. Direct = Traffic coming directly to the RB homepage
3. Paid = Traffic from sources we pay for (Google ads, Facebook ads, etc.)
Source: Redbubble internal data
12
BUILDING A HIGH GROWTH,
SUSTAINABLE AND DIVERSIFIED
MARKETPLACE
13
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH NOT SUBJECT TO A MARKET CEILING
ESTIMATED ADDRESSABLE MARKET IN EXCESS OF US$60 BILLION
Market Size (US$B)
Estimated addressable market1
70
Global online market:
Apparel = US$81B
60
50
Homewares2 = US$131B
42
40
64
30
20
grow at between 10 and
14% per annum through
to 2020
10
$22B
Existing markets
10
12
Both of these large online
markets expected to
0
US/UK/Au
1.
2.
Europe
ROW
Total
Redbubble analysis of the total market of customers seeking creative expression on lifestyle products (apparel, electronic accessories, homewares and stationery)
Homewares = furniture and household goods such as kitchen and bathroom accessories, textile furnishings, office supplies and stationery
Sources: eMarketer, McKinsey and Company, ATKearney, Redbubble analysis
14
HUGE CONTENT LIBRARY & PRODUCTS PROVIDE INCREASING LEVERAGE
# (Millions)
~60% OF SALES ARE FROM ENDURING CONTENT
Items and Works Sold
5.0
4.3M Unique items sold
Diversifying the range of items
broadens potential customer base
Increasing leverage from
new products
Content library can be instantly
applied to new products
1.55M Unique works sold
Content is a mix of enduring (~60%)
and new/trending (~40%)
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Source: Redbubble internal data
A Product is a combination of physical product and artist work, a work is simply a single artist image
15
PRODUCTION IS LOCALISED IN OUR PRIMARY MARKETS
WITH GAINS IN MARGIN, CONVERSION AND CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE
Localisation of production has
REDUCED GLOBAL AVERAGE
DELIVERY TIME
by a full day in the last 12 months,
resulting in:
MARGIN IMPROVEMENT
via reduction of shipping charges
C O N V E R S I O N U P L I F T from
improved delivery times
24
FULFILMENT
64
PRODUCTS
6
COUNTRIES
N P S G A I N S from better service
experience
SYSTEMIC REDUNDANCY
against fulfiller failure
CENTRES
Source: Redbubble internal data
16
BUILDING A HIGH GROWTH,
SUSTAINABLE AND DIVERSIFIED
MARKETPLACE
17
4 BIG THEMES FOR CY2017
STAY FOCUSED ON STRENGTHENING MARKETPLACE DYNAMICS
Enhancing ability
TO FIND YOUR THING
Efficient
GLOBAL ACQUISITION
of new customers & artists
ü Increase leverage of content library
into paid channels (search,
Facebook)
Improvements in organic
acquisition (social, search)
to enrich experiences
Personalised content recommendations
Content discovery journey
Content partnerships
Developing
DEEPER RELATIONSHIPS
Enhancing
SCALABILITY
across the business
ü EBITDA improvements of up to $3 million p.a. from
operational efficiencies
Faster core platform – critical for mobile experience
with our customers
ü Mobile app for rich, habitual
browsing experience
Upgrading account creation to
enable personalisation
18
WITH A FINAL OBJECTIVE FOR CUSTOMERS
More buyers acquired more profitably
Seeing ever more content from more artists & partners
With a personalised mobile discovery & shopping experience for all visitors
Forming a mobile habit resulting in more orders from more loyal customers
Supported by best-in-class site speed
…
Attracting more artists, generating more content to sell to more customers
19
BUILDING A HIGH GROWTH,
SUSTAINABLE AND DIVERSIFIED
MARKETPLACE
20
UNIQUE R B BUSINESS MODEL
INSIGNIFICANT CAPITAL INVESTMENT (PP&E)
POSITIVE WORKING CAPITAL CYCLE
NO INVENTORY RISK
NO DISTRIBUTION COSTS
NO WAREHOUSING COSTS
21
4Q2017 and FY2017 P&L summary
4Q
P&L (A$M)
FY16
FY17
Full year
Growth
CC
Growth1
FY16
FY17
Growth
CC
Growth1
GTV
$32.3
$38.7
19.6%
23.3%
$142.9
$175.4
22.8%
30.3%
Revenue *
$26.1
$30.9
18.6%
22.3%
$114.6
$141.0
23.0%
30.1%
Cost of Goods Sold *
$(16.6)
$(19.7)
19.0%
21.6%
$(75.6)
$(90.8)
20.2%
26.7%
Gross Profit
$9.5
$11.2
18.0%
23.4%
$39.0
$50.1
28.5%
36.8%
GP Margin
36.5%
36.3%
34.0%
35.6%
Paid Acquisition
$(1.8)
$(3.1)
$(7.7)
$(12.2)
59.9%
63.8%
71.4%
Gross Profit (after Paid
Acquisition) (GPAPA)
$7.7
$8.1
GPAPA Margin
29.6%
26.4%
Operating Expenses
$(9.8)
$(11.2)
13.9%
Operating EBITDA
$(2.1)
Other Income/Expenses
EBITDA (Loss)/Profit
5.6%
72.0%
$31.3
$37.9
27.4%
26.9%
14.6%
$(37.4)
$(3.0)
(44.7%) (23.6%)
$(1.1)
$(0.7)
(39.2%)
$(3.2)
$(3.7)
(16.2%)
Source: Redbubble internal unaudited management accounts
12.1%
(12.3%)
20.8%
30.2%
$(43.1)
15.3%
18.0%
$(6.0)
$(5.2)
13.6%
44.2%
$(2.7)
$(3.1)
15.5%
$(8.7)
$(8.3)
4.7%
29.0%
• Key financial
measures in line
with or better
than guidance
• Strong 4Q GP
Margin bolstered
by some one-offs
as in FY2016.
Underlying GP at
year end around
35.8%
• Paid acquisition
costs continuing
to increase with
shift to mobile but
profitability per $
spend maintained
• Whilst not evident
in 4Q in isolation
due to prior
period paid
acquisition being
low, operating
leverage
emerging with
slowing operating
expense growth
• Overall impact of
FX on Operating
EBITDA < $50,000
22
4Q2017 and FY2017 Key Metrics
4Q
FY2016
GTV1
4Q
FY2017
YOY
growth
YTD
FY2016
YTD
FY2017
YOY
growth
$32.3M
$38.7M
19.6%
$142.9M
$175.4M
22.8%
Repeat GTV2 $12.4M
$15.4M
23.8%
$50.7M
$66.6M
31.2%
48.8M
33.0%
147.8M
188.4M
27.4%
Visits
36.7M
Conversion3
1.72%
1.65%
-4.2%
1.87%
1.96%
4.6%
AOV4
$51.3
$48.1
-6.2%
$51.6
$47.54
-7.9%
Customers5 0.55M
0.70M
27.7%
2.2M
2.9M
32.8%
Selling Artists 97,800
134,800
37.8%
154,300 233,000
51.0%
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
• Healthy market
place maintained in
growth of repeat
GTV, and # of
customers, selling
artists and visits
• Conversion rate
impacted by
accelerating
transition to lowerconverting mobile
• Lower AOV
continues to be
predominantly as a
result of strong
AUD
GTV (Gross Transaction Value) = Total receipts from customers less fraud, refunds and chargebacks
Repeat GTV = GTV earned from customers who have previously purchased from Redbubble
Conversion rate is the percentage of visits to the site that result in a purchase being made
AOV: Average Order Value (Order sales / Order count)
The numbers disclosed in the April 2017 4C release for 3QFY17 for Customers were actually orders and not unique customers. The correct numbers of unique
customers for 3QFY17 were 750,000 (up 36.9%) and for YTD FY17 were 2,130,000 (up 34.4%).
Source: Redbubble internal data
23
BUILDING A HIGH GROWTH,
SUSTAINABLE AND DIVERSIFIED
MARKETPLACE
24
POSITIONED FOR LOW RISK LONG-TERM GROWTH…
HIGH GROWTH
•
•
•
•
Leading global marketplace
10 consecutive years of growth
Enormous addressable market
Opportunities on many
dimensions
SUSTAINABLE
DIVERSIFIED
•
•
•
•
Fresh and enduring content
From global artists
Range of product offering
From geographically dispersed fulfillers
•
•
•
•
•
Capital efficiency from
outsourcing and business model
Manufacturing outsourced
Positive cash cycle
Low customer and artist
acquisition costs
Strong balance sheet
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DISCLAIMER
The material herein is a presentation of information in summary form and does not
purport to be complete. Investors or potential investors should seek their own
independent advice. This material is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors
or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial
situation or needs of a particular investor. These should be considered when deciding if a
particular investment is appropriate.
27
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